The
EMU Criteria and the EU Leaders' Decision on which Member States qualified
for EMU
As already stated,
in May 1998 the EU Heads of State or Government decided that eleven Member
States, including Ireland, fulfil the necessary conditions to enter EMU
and adopt the euro from 1 January 1999.
This decision was
made with the benefit of detailed convergence reports from the European
Monetary Institute and the European Commission, together with a recommendation
from the Commission, all of which were published on 25 March 1998. The
emphasis of the reports was on the achievement of a high degree of sustainable
convergence among Member States and this was assessed primarily on the
basis of the progress made by the Member States in fulfilling the four
convergence criteria set out in Article 109j(1) of the Maastricht Treaty.
Briefly, the criteria
for EMU relate first to the avoidance of an excessive budget deficit, meaning
that the general Government deficit must not exceed 3 per cent of gross
domestic product (GDP) unless it has declined substantially and continuously
and reached a level close to 3 per cent, or unless the excess over 3 per
cent is small, exceptional and temporary; and
the ratio of general
Government debt to GDP must be below 60 per cent or, if above, must
be sufficiently diminishing and approaching 60 per cent at a satisfactory
pace.
There are also criteria
in relation to inflation, interest rates and currency stability. These
are briefly as follows:
average inflation
must not exceed by over 1.5 per cent that of the three best-performing
Member States;
the average nominal
long-term interest rate must not exceed by more than 2 per cent that
of the three best-performing Member States in terms of price stability;
a Member State's
currency must without severe tensions have respected the normal fluctuation
margins of the Exchange Rate Mechanism of the European Monetary System
for two years before the assessment and its central rate must not have
been devalued on the Member State's initiative against any other Member
State's currency in that period.
The Treaty requires
the Commission and EMI to report on other matters: these include the level
of compatibility between national central bank legislation and the Treaty
obligation that the central banks of EMU members be independent.
On the basis of the
two convergence reports, the European Commission recommended to ECOFIN
that the following eleven Member States be judged to qualify to enter the
third stage of EMU on 1 January 1999: Austria, Belgium, Finland, France,
Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, and, of course,
Ireland. Denmark and the United Kingdom exercised their Treaty opt-outs
from EMU and Sweden and Greece were judged by the Commission not to have
fulfilled all the criteria for entry. As the next step in the process,
the European Parliament met on 29-30 April 1998 and adopted a Resolution
on the convergence reports and the Commission recommendation which it forwarded
to ECOFIN.
On the basis of these
reports and of the recommendation from the Commission, ECOFIN met on 1
May, assessed for each Member State the fulfilment of the conditions for
adoption of the euro and formulated its recommendation to the Heads of
State or Government. The European Parliament met on the morning of 2 May
and delivered its formal opinion to the Heads of State or Government, who
met that afternoon and confirmed that the eleven Member States listed above
qualified to join EMU and adopt the euro from 1 January 1999.